Primary Strategy: Darvas Box Expansion / All-Time High Price Discovery I. THE RISK/REWARD PROFILE * Conviction Level: High (Institutional "Blue Sky" Discovery) * Risk/Reward Ratio: Asymmetric / Open-Ended * Asymmetry: Risking $110.50 to capture an undefined multi-quarter trend. II. EXECUTION PARAMETERS * 🟢 Entry (Long): $1,241.50 (Verification…
Primary Strategy: Balance Invalidation & Darvas Box Violation I. THE RISK/REWARD PROFILE * Conviction Level: High (Structural Imbalance) * Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.8 : 1 * Asymmetry: Risking $4.00 to capture $19.25 II. EXECUTION PARAMETERS * 🔴 Entry (Short): $114.05 (Confirmed violation of the 1-year Balance Floor) * 🛑 Stop-Loss: $120.…
Theme: Value Area Rejection & Structural Spring Status: Active | Sector: Utilities | Timeframe: 4-Hour / 1-Year Balance The Institutional Setup $NRG has been characterized by a multi-quarter consolidation phase, establishing a primary Balance Area over the last 12 months. This structural equilibrium represents a period of "Fair Value&…
Update: May 28, 2026 We exited our long LLY trade as it is approaching our target. This sale was below the initial 1134 target or 2.5% below. We made this adjustment based on the weakness we are seeing the S&P 500 auction. May 12, 2026 Following a…
Market profile analysis often reveals the underlying auction process of markets—where price is accepted, where it is rejected, and where future opportunity may develop. When we step back and examine the structure from 2021 through 2026, a clear narrative emerges about balance, breakout, and the market’s ongoing search…